The Kozmetsky Center briefing series features succinct policy relevant contributions by our US and international speakers representing a diversity of national and professional perspectives. Contributors summarize current research findings defining implications for the policy community in addressing topics of critical global relevance. The series provides a resource useful for students, academic research and the policy, private sector and civic communities.
Please Note: The Kozmetsky Center briefing series features policy relevant articles offered by our US and international speakers and program participants. Briefing papers reflect the research and perspective of the author and do not represent the position of the Kozmetsky Center or St. Edward's University.
Thirty Years of the ‘Clash of Civilisations’ and Right-Wing Populism in the USA and Europe, August-September 2018
Jeffrey Haynes, PhD, Professor of Politics Emeritus, London Metropolitan University
Since Professor Samuel Huntington first aired his controversial ‘framework’ in the 1990s, inter-civilisational ‘clash’ and ‘dialogue’ have become mainstream issues in both international relations and in many countries’ domestic concerns. Thirty years on, Dr. Jeffrey Haynes assesses the explanatory value of Huntington’s ‘clash of civilisations’ ‘paradigm’ or ‘framework’ and how this paradigm has fared in the perceptions of scholars and policy makers, the two audiences on which he focused.
Russia's Game on the Korean Peninsula and the Moscow-Beijing-Pyongyang Alignment, October-November 2018
Dr. Artyom Lukin, Associate Professor and Deputy Director for Research, School of Regional and International Studies, Far Eastern Federal University (Vladivostok)
This article provides an analysis of the complex mix of interests and motives explaining Russia's behavior toward North Korea. Professor Artyom Lukin offers insights into the dynamics of the Moscow-Beijing-Pyonyang relationship influencing circumstances on the Korean Peninsula with potential consequences relevant for American policy.
INF: The Path Forward, December-January 2019
Miles Pomper, Senior Fellow, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies
Valeriia Lozova, Fulbright Visiting Researcher, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies
"INF: The Path Forward" is a timely and relevant assessment on the status of Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. The authors recount the historical and contemporary events which culminate in the current treaty disputes between the Russian Federation and the United States. The authors conclude the brief with their policy suggestions to break the U.S.-Russian impasse and to forge a path forward.
“Exploring the Religious-Policy/Security Nexus in Responding to Critical Contemporary Regional and Global Security Challenges,” Kozmetsky Center-Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University project on Religion and International Security with the support of NATO’s Public Diplomacy Division, March - April 2019
Prepared by Sharyl Cross, Director, Kozmetsky Center, Elizabeth H. Prodromou, Professor, Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, David Mowry, Executive Assistant (former), Joseph Sadek, Executive Assistant, Kozmetsky Center
Iran Grand Strategy Coming of Age, September-October 2019
Heidi E. Lane, PhD, Associate Professor of Strategy and Policy and Director of the Middle East Research Study Group at U.S. Naval War College
Professor Lane discusses three core principles and competing interests that make up Iranian grand strategy. She argues that Iranian grand strategy has been remarkably consistent in delivering specific national interests while simultaneously considered by many nations as incoherent and often dangerously irresponsible. The author contends that Iran's narrative, based on nationalism, religious elitism and historical memory, combines soft and hard power elements to consolidate and extend regional and global influence.
Eastern Partnership Countries on the Cross-Roads of the Eurasian Geopolitics: USA, European Union (EU), Russia, and China, November-December 2019
Ruben Elamiryan, PhD, Associate Professor at the Chair of Political Governance and Public Policy, Public Administration Academy of Armenia, Lecturer at the Chair of World Politics and International Relations, Russian-Armenian University and 2018-2019 Visiting Fulbright Scholar, Department of Near Eastern Studies, Princeton University
The Eastern Partnership (EaP) region encompassing Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine has been of strategic interest for Eurasian and non-Eurasian powers for centuries. These countries have traditionally been centers of great power competition due to their geographic location as well as their natural resources. In his paper, Dr. Elamiryan analyzes the respective interests of the United States, the European Union (EU), Russia, and China in the EaP region. Furthermore, the author reveals and assesses those complementary long-term interests of the stakeholders which could serve as a basis for cooperative coexistence and the development of a culture of collaboration for all actors in the EaP region.
Five Forces Driving the World's Political RIsk Supercycle, December 2019 - January 2020
Demosthenes James (DJ) Peterson, PhD, President, Longview Global Advisors
The global political environment has been characterized as unprecedented, volatile, and dangerous—epitomized by an upsurge in populism and authoritarianism. This brief connects the dots and shows how the megatrend is rooted in five major, interconnected political forces: 1) slow growth, 2) inequalities in income and opportunities, 3) perceptions that governing institutions are unresponsive, 4) political entrepreneurs or insurgents, and 5) a hyperconnected social media environment. These forces are driving an enduring, global political risk supercycle that cannot be ignored. The analysis defines trends relevant for global policymakers and specifically suggests three ways business leaders can respond to the threat.
The Information Apocalypse and Beyond, January - February 2020
Major General Mari K. Eder, U.S. Army, Retired
The Information Apocalypse means the public trust is unraveling in democratic institutions, their products and outputs, primarily news, information and most critically, ideas and values. The ever-expanding role of technology in our lives serves as an accelerant, speeding up not only change but our abilities to keep pace and to control our responses. Yet even as the Apocalypse deepens the tide is beginning to turn and we can expect to see changes in how institutions and individuals protect privacy and develop media literacy to discern truth from false narratives.